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Iran Into Trouble

March 3, 2009

Iran Into Trouble

By INVESTOR’S BUSINESS DAILY | 3 March 2009

Nuclear Weapons: Our Joint Chiefs chairman says Iran has enough material to make a nuclear bomb.  Didn’t our spy agencies less than a year and a half ago tell us all not to worry?

Adm. Michael Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told CNN on Sunday that Iran has enough enriched uranium to make a nuclear weapon.

“We think they do, quite frankly,” Mullen said.

Tehran retorted that the U.N.’s International Atomic Energy Agency monitors Iran’s nuclear facility at Natanz. But the IAEA was shocked last month to find 209 kilograms more low-enriched uranium at Natanz than expected, enough for up to 25 kilograms of highly-enriched uranium — or one Hiroshima-sized device.

Speaking of incompetence, the U.S. intelligence community in October 2007 asserted “with high confidence that in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program.”

That National Intelligence Estimate said: “Tehran’s decision to halt its nuclear weapons program suggests it is less determined to develop nuclear weapons than we have been judging since 2005.”

That hasn’t seemed to have quelled Admiral Mullen’s worries.

Consider, after all, the long list of examples proving the cloudiness of our spy agencies’ crystal ball. Two days before Saddam Hussein’s march into Kuwait in 1990, for instance, the CIA was telling President George H.W. Bush that an invasion was unlikely.

Less than a week before Moscow’s Christmas 1979 invasion of Afghanistan, the agency’s top Soviet analysts claimed, “The pace of Soviet deployments does not suggest . . . urgent contingency.”

And back in 1950, two days before 300,000 Red Chinese troops assaulted American forces in Korea, the CIA repeated to President Eisenhower that the Chinese would not invade.

How many times must Inspector Clouseau bumble before we stop taking him seriously?

Thomas C. Reed and Danny B. Stillman’s new history of nuclear proliferation, “The Nuclear Express,” recounts Israel’s successful — and fairly speedy — quest for the bomb. By the spring of 1963, President John F. Kennedy knew Israeli Prime Minister David Ben-Gurion was lying about Israel’s Dimona “civilian” reactor.

JFK “sent harsh messages to Ben-Gurion, but to no avail; delay and obfuscation were Ben-Gurion’s stock and trade.”

By the end of 1963 the Dimona plant was producing plutonium. By 1966, Israel apparently conducted “a hydronuclear or near-zero yield test” of a prototype bomb beneath the Negev desert.

Four decades later, delay and obfuscation are now Tehran’s stock and trade. But unlike Tel Aviv, their nuclear intentions are not defensive but jihadist. And they are a clear and present danger to us.

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